Aussie homeowners brace for more mortgage pain as inflation accelerates again

Inflation has hit a six-month high of 4.3 per cent despite four interest rate hikes this year, adding to pressure on the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates again at next week's Melbourne Cup Day meeting.

Annual inflation rose from 4 per cent in August to 4.3 per cent in September, the highest rate since March, when inflation stood at 4.6 per cent.

Underlying inflation, which strips out the biggest price swings and is closely watched by the Reserve Bank, also edged up to 3.6 per cent in September from a revised 3.5 per cent in August.

'This is an ugly number for the RBA and significantly strengthens the case for another rate hike next week,' senior investment strategist at ETF provider Global X Marc Jocum said.

Market pricing for a November rate hike climbed from about 60 per cent ahead of the data release to about 80 per cent afterwards, Mr Jocum said.

If the RBA raises rates next week, the cash rate would rise from 4.60 per cent to 4.85 per cent.

For borrowers with a $600,000 mortgage, another hike would add about $92 to monthly repayments, on top of roughly $364 from this year's four earlier increases.

Once all five rises flow through, monthly repayments would be about $456 higher, equivalent to an extra $5,472 a year.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers pointed to the war in the Middle East and higher oil prices as factors worsening Australia's inflation problem.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers pointed to the war in the Middle East and higher oil prices as factors worsening Australia's inflation problem

Market pricing for a November rate hike climbed from about 60 per cent ahead of the data release to about 80 per cent following

Underlying inflation, which strips out the biggest price swings and is closely watched by the Reserve Bank, also edged up to 3.6 per cent in September from a revised 3.5 per cent in August

'We already had an inflation challenge in our economy and the war in the Middle East is making it worse.

'We've seen higher oil prices driving higher inflation around the world, and today's figures confirm that we are not immune from that. And that's why, once again, from an economic point of view, the end of the war in the Middle East can't come soon enough.'

Daily Mail Political and Economics Editor Peter van Onselen said the government needed to spend less to help slow price rises.

'Jim Chalmers can point to international factors driving inflation, but that only makes restraint at home more urgent. He can't control global prices, but he can control how much his government spends, and we are spending beyond our means,' he said.

'If the Treasurer won't take some heat out of the economy via spending cuts, the RBA needs to do it with higher interest rates. That means anyone with a mortgage, and businesses carrying debt, paying the price for his refusal to make hard budget decisions.

'A targeted austerity drive would let the government choose where to tighten its belt. Higher rates are a blunt instrument that hurt households, discourage investment and put jobs at risk. Chalmers needs to explain why spending restraint is too hard but another hit to family budgets is somehow okay.'

The renewed inflation pressure also casts doubt on the Albanese government's earlier assessment that the worst of the challenge was behind Australia.

In January 2025, Chalmers declared the country had turned a corner after headline inflation fell to a near four-year low of 2.4 per cent in the December quarter.

Aussie mortgage holders have been struggling under rising interest rates

Shadow Treasurer Tim Wilson said government spending had been been the key driver of the elevated core inflation or underlying inflation

'The worst of the inflation challenge is now well and truly behind us, and that's one of the reasons why we are confident but not complacent about the economy in the year ahead,' he said at the time.

He also argued the economy was on course for a 'soft landing'.

'The soft landing that we have been planning for and preparing for is now looking more and more likely.'

The latest figures show prices rising across every major spending category, adding to the strain on household budgets.

Petrol prices jumped 9.4 per cent in September after rising 14.8 per cent in August. Prices were almost 24 per cent higher than a year earlier.

Transport recorded the biggest annual rise of any major spending category, up 8.7 per cent in the year to September. Housing had the second-largest increase, at 5.2 per cent.

Education costs rose 4.7 per cent, recreation and culture increased 4.5 per cent, and alcohol and tobacco climbed 4.3 per cent.

Insurance and financial services were 3.9 per cent more expensive than a year earlier, while health costs rose 3.7 per cent.

Food and non-alcoholic beverages increased 3.2 per cent, and communication costs climbed 2.3 per cent.

Smaller annual increases were recorded for furnishings, household equipment and services, up 0.8 per cent, and clothing and footwear, up 0.4 per cent.

Shadow Treasurer Tim Wilson said government spending had been been the key driver of the elevated core inflation or underlying inflation.

'That's why interest rates keep going up,' he told News24.

'Until you contain government spending, Australians will pay more on their mortgages and go to the supermarket and pay more and get less.'

Poundland could disappear from the High Street within days as Andy Burnham asks questions over how its owners handled a sales process.

Thousands of nervous staff are waiting to hear what will happen to the discount retailer after it filed a notice to appoint administrators with the High Court today.

This will give the business, bought by US investment firm Gordon Brothers for less than £1 last year, some breathing room – ten days – to find a rescue deal. AlixPartners is poised to take over a potential insolvency process.

But the Poundland brand and its 600 shops will not be sold as a whole, leading to a carve-up of the 36-year old retailer, meaning jobs are at risk at any shops that are not bought.

And on Thursday night, the Prime Minister said he is ready to demand answers from owners amid a 'deeply worrying time' for staff and their families.

Burnham told The Telegraph: 'We want to see jobs protected. If there was a potential owner to avoid this that hasn’t been accepted, then the Business Secretary and I want to know why that is the case.'

Battle for survival: The fate of Poundland's near 12,000 staff hangs in the balance.

It would mark the biggest high street collapse since Debenhams closed its doors in 2021 with the loss of 12,000 jobs.

Job losses could hit 600 shops and a distribution centre in Makerfield, Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s constituency, which employs around 270 people.

Business secretary Jonathan Reynolds also said he was ‘very much concerned’ and would push for answers as workers and bosses seethe over its failure to find a buyer.

He told The Telegraph: ‘If it is true that it was not necessary to put the business into administration then the present owners will have to account for that.’

Why has Poundland struggled?

Chains like Poundland are battling shoppers with constrained budgets while costs, such as employing people, have increased – following Government moves to hike wages and employer National Insurance contributions. Savvier shoppers are looking for cheaper online alternatives, including Amazon, Temu and TikTok Shop.

Former owners, the Warsaw-listed Pepco Group, made some wrong moves that did not go down well with its customers, including putting Pepco clothing in its shops.

Its most recent woes stem back to last year, when it narrowly avoided collapsing into administration. The chain was sold in June 2025 to US firm Gordon Brothers for a nominal €1 amid 'challenging trading conditions'.

By November 2025, around 100 Poundland shops had been shut or earmarked for closure. Two months later, as part of its radical turnaround plan, Poundland had shut 149 stores with 2,200 job losses.

But this year, Poundland bosses insisted it was turning a corner, pointing to like-for-like sales growth of 3.3 per cent in the three months to September 26.

Poundland's managing director Barry Williams said earlier this month: 'Our recovery plan is working, thanks to our investment in simple low pricing and new ranges, powered by our new in-house teams.'

Why is there a dispute between Poundland’s owners and its bosses?

Both shop workers’ union Usdaw and Poundland’s management have accused Gordon Brothers of mishandling a sales process, which it kicked off at the beginning of September.

The union met with the minister for the future of work, Kate Dearden, on Wednesday, amid warnings of what would be the biggest High Street collapse in years.

Three directors, appointed less than a fortnight ago, this week walked out following a dramatic dispute with owners Gordon Brothers.

Hours later the retailer’s management hit out at the owners, calling the process ‘unexpected, unwanted and avoidable’.

Government adviser David Bickerton is set to ask ‘fairly basic questions of senior people around Poundland’ in order to ‘establish what the situation is,’ on behalf of the business secretary, the Financial Times reported.

What does a notice to appoint administrators mean?

‘Filing a notice of intention isn’t administration itself,’ explains Julie Palmer, managing partner at real estate advisory group BTG.

Instead, it effectively keeps the wolves from the door for up to ten business days of protection and helps the firm preserve cash.

She added: ‘If an appointment follows, the administrators take control of the company from the directors. Their first duty is to try to rescue it as a going concern.

'If that isn’t possible, they aim for a better result for creditors than liquidation would give. In practice that usually means a sale, either of the whole business or in parts. For staff and customers, stores normally keep trading while that happens, but the risk is that the business is broken up, with stronger stores sold and weaker ones closed.’

Who could buy the shops?

Owner Gordon Brothers rejected a takeover offer from Irish real estate firm Martin Property Group – despite management and unions arguing this was the best deal on the table.

This would have been for the whole business, including its brand and full store estate.

But now it seems like other major retailers, especially those with grand expansion plans, could pick up some shops from Poundland.

The owner of The Range, Homebase and Wilko – known as Britain’s ‘Del Boy Billionaire’ – is thought to be interested. Chris Dawson, 74, who runs CDS Superstores, acquired the Wilko brand out of administration in 2023.

Dawson got his nickname, the 'Del Boy billionaire', via the press as a reference to his yellow Lamborghini Urus, which has a personalised number plate 'DE11 BOY', a homage to the character Del Boy Trotter from the classic TV show Only Fools and Horses.

Dawson started his career as a market trader, before founding The Range and scaling it to a major high street chain. He has since acquired Wilko and Homebase out of administration.

Chris Dawson, 74, runs CDS Superstores, which owns The Range, Homebase and Wilko

Poundstretcher owner Fortress is also understood to be looking at buying shops. The rival discount retailer runs more than 300 shops in the UK.

Supermarket Lidl also hopes to be able to snap up some of its stores if the retailer fails to sell the whole company. The discounter is pushing ahead with a major expansion mission.

TG Jones owner is also understood to be interested in buying parts of the Poundland business.

The private equity group owns Britain's WH Smith shops, now known as TG Jones stores and previously bought ailing accessories chain Claire's, Hobbycraft and The Original Factory Shop.

All Claire's standalone shops in the UK and Ireland stopped trading earlier this year after its financial woes saw it fall into administration twice in a year.

Are shops open and will staff be paid?

Poundland shops are currently open and operating business as usual.

But Poundland's managing director Barry Williams wrote a letter to around 12,000, accusing the retailer’s owner of limiting the chain's access to funding.

This has effectively prevented bosses from making routine payments, with suppliers now worried they will not be paid on time this week, according to Sky News.

But sources close to the crisis talks insisted that this should not prevent staff from being paid at the end of the month.

Williams told staff: 'I'm disappointed to have to tell you that Gordon Brothers have given instructions that restricts our access to funds that we would, in normal circumstances expect to access fully under our existing loan agreement.'

Gordon Brothers are accused of breaching the terms of an asset-based lending facility by failing to submit a budget to the shareholders on time despite an agreed grace period – with the business now outperforming those forecasts, Sky News reported.

Julie Palmer, managing partner at real estate advisory group BTG, says that in this situation, ‘existing commitments such as payroll and supplier invoices can still be met from cash already available‘.

But bosses cannot ‘draw further funds to cover anything beyond that,’ she says, which poses a problem as retailers typically draw from these loans in the autumn to buy Christmas stock - before repaying from festive sales in December and January.

She added: ‘If a lender has concerns about longer-term viability, it may simply be unwilling to increase its exposure by funding that stock build, particularly when it can’t be sure who will own the business, or what shape it will be in, by the time the money needs to come back.

‘That leaves management with very little room to manoeuvre. It limits their ability to buy stock or take on new commitments, and puts directors in a difficult position, because they must be confident the company can meet its liabilities before taking on new ones. Once credit insurers pull back and suppliers start asking for payment up front, the squeeze tightens quickly.’